Article Sidebar
Published:
Aug 6, 2024DOI:
10.4314/sajg.v13i2.8Keywords:
Article Details
Authors who submit papers to this journal agree to the following terms:
a) Authors retain copyright over their work, while allowing the journal to place this work on the journal website under a Creative Commons Attribution License, which allows others to freely access, use, and share the work, with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and its initial publication in this journal.
b) Authors are able to waive the terms of the CC license and enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution and subsequent publication of this work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
c) In addition, authors are encouraged to post and share their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) at any point after publication on the journal website.
Main Article Content
Assessing the Impact of Spatial Planning on the Spread of COVID-19 within Kampala City
Abstract
Spatial planning has previously had an impact on the dynamics of pandemics. However, its influence on the spread of COVID-19 has not been explored. This research therefore focused on assessing the impact of spatial planning on the spread of COVID-19 in Kampala City. The research was based on the confirmed COVID-19 cases registered between 21 March 2020 and 27 March 2021 and was conducted in conjunction with the spatial analytical methods of the Global Moran’s Index, Anselin’s Local Indicator of Spatial Association (LISA) and the Geographically Weighted Regression model (GWR). Global Moran’s I and Anselin’s LISA were used to determine the spatial distribution of COVID-19 cases. The GWR was used to model the relationship between conformance to spatial planning and the spatial distribution of COVID-19 cases. Results attained through these methods showed a random distribution of cases, with LISA results indicating parishes located in the Central Division as major disease risk sites of COVID-19. Furthermore, results from the GWR revealed a negative relationship, with an R2 value of 0.51, between spatial planning and the spatial distribution of Covid-19. This means that variations in spatial planning initiatives could explain 51 per cent of the variations in COVID-19 cases in Kampala City. Therefore, to change Kampala into a pandemic-resilient city, there is a need to develop appropriate compact spatial planning designs, especially in the parishes of Nakasero 1, Nakasero 11, Nakasero III, and Kagugube.
