Spatial Modelling of Common Chimpanzees’ (Pan troglodytes schweinifurthii) Ecological Niche in the Western Part of Rwanda

Abstract

The Western Part of Rwanda is a mountainous region that hosts two important forest parks namely the Nyungwe National Park (NNP) and Gishwati-Mukura National Park (GMNP). The two parks which are located in the Albertine Rift region are known for their high endemism and harbour several endangered plant and animal species, including particularly the Common Chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes schweinifurthii). However, these forests are facing threats including mainly habitat loss, aggravated by climate change both of which are continuously having direct and indirect effects to the Chimpanzees. While conservation of chimpanzees appears critical, there is a need to deeply understand the dynamics of their habitat. This study aimed at modelling the ecological niche of common chimpanzee by integrating species distribution data and environmental layers. Species location data collected in both NNP and GMNP were integrated with environmental variables (temperature, precipitation, altitude, and land cover) through Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt), and Generic Algorithm for Rule-based Prediction (GARP) Models. The results of both models showed that chimpanzees prefer the Southern and the Northern parts of the study area (0.5 < p < 0.87), which is characterised by high altitude, low temperature, and intensive rainfall. It was also noted that MaxEnt predictions were more accurate compared to the GARP’s. MaxEnt predictions showed that 35% (2058.61 ha) of the Western Province are suitable for chimpanzees, while GARP predicted that only 24% (1411.62 ha) are suitable. Furthermore, the study found that the high precipitation, annual and maximum precipitations, and food availability are the most determinants of chimpanzees' habitat. The land use in the Western Province has made the central part less suitable to chimpanzees and therefore, this study recommends that special efforts for the conservation of Common chimpanzees in Rwanda should be concentrated in the Southern Part (around NNP) Nyungwe National Park (main forest and Cyamudongo fragment) and the northern Part (around GMNP)

Keywords: Spatial Modelling, Common Chimpanzee, Ecological Niche, Nyungwe National Park, Gishwati-Mukura National Park, Rwanda.