Covid 19 implications on credit loss provisioning rules under IFRS 9: Pro-cyclicality concerns

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to analyse the procyclicality behavior of Expected Credit Loss (ECL) model introduced by IFRS 9, during the  economic downturn due to the Covid 19 pandemic. A regression analysis was conducted on a dataset gathered from euro era in order to  investigate the hypothesis suggesting that the new model does not exhibit a procyclical behavior. Our findings indicate that, despite the  IASB's expectation that the ECL model would have a countercyclical impact, it still demonstrates procyclical behavior.