Environmental shocks and agricultural revenue: Secondary data analysis of 2018/19 Nigerian general household survey

Abstract

The study was designed to investigate the link between environmental shocks and agricultural revenue using secondary data obtained from the 2018/2019 Nigerian general household survey. Variables were subjected to correlational analysis using Spearman correlation coefficient. Results indicate that 0.8% and 6.6% of Nigerian households experienced harvest destruction by fire and flooding respectively. The average amount of money accrued from the sale of unprocessed and processed crops in Nigeria were <strike>N</strike>112,774 and <strike>N</strike>44,593 respectively. Destruction of harvest by fire is negatively but insignificantly related to mean total sales of  unprocessed crops (r = -.268, p > 0.05) while it is negatively, strongly and significantly related to mean total sales of processed crops (r = -.996, p < 0.05). Flooding that caused harvest failure is negatively but insignificantly related to mean total sales of unprocessed crops (r = -.217, p > 0.05) and processed crops (r = -.300, p > 0.05). Destruction of harvest by fire is the single most vital determinant of reduced earnings from sales of processed crops. Empirical credence afforded the idea that environmental shocks and agricultural revenue are conflicting social realities in Nigeria.

Keywords: Environmental shocks, agricultural revenue, fire outbreaks, flooding.