Numerical solution of the differential equation for simulation of the rice blast disease

Abstract

Rice blast disease is one of the diseases that causes damage to rice yield in Thailand. This research aims to simulate the severity of rice blast disease using the EPIRICE model for Khao Dawk Mali 105 that caused by Pyricularia oryzae in Prachin Buri, Thailand, and evaluate the simulation results by comparing with field collection data using root mean square error (RMSE). The epidemiological model consists of a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that describes the dynamic of rice leaf disease. The Euler’s method is used to approximate the solutions of the ODEs. According to the RMSE, the simulation results were good agreement with the field collection data. Therefore, the numerical methods can be the technical tool for solving the severity of rice blast disease.

Keywords: EPIRICE model, Khao Dawk Mali 105, Numerical Solution, Pyicularia oryzae, Rice blast disease