Prognostic Importance of Lactate and Blood Gas Parameters in Predicting Mortality in Patients with Critical Malignancies

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The aim of the present study was to detect the prognostic importance of lactate and other blood gas parameters for mortality prediction in patients with critical malignancies referring to the emergency service. The general condition of patients with malignancy who have referred to the emergency department should be evaluated and it should be shown that they are not in any oncological emergency. It is a highly significant predictor of mortality after sepsis and shock in hyperlactatemia accompanying metabolic acidosis. It is significantly used for treatment monitoring.
METHODS: This study was planned prospective and observational study. The patients enrolled were divided into two groups including survivor and non-survivor depending on 30-day mortality. The primary outcome of the study was determined as following the mortality within 30 days.
RESULTS: The mean lactate level was 1.9 (1.4-2.5) mmol/L in the survivor group, and 2.6 (1.9-4.4) mmol/L in the non-survivor group; a significant difference was obtained between both groups (p<0.001). When the cut-off value of the lactate was determined as >2.95 mmol/L in order to differentiate the survivors from nonsurvivors, the sensitivity and specificity were detected as 35.0% and 86.1%, respectively. It was detected by the multivariate regression analysis that lactate predicts the 30-day mortality with a higher significance level in patients with critical malignancies.
CONCLUSIONS: It was concluded that lactate is a good predictor and may be used safely in predicting 30-day mortality in patients with any critical malignancy referring to the emergency department.