An econometric study of the impact of agricultural exports and imports on real GDP in Algeria during the period (1990-2022) (2022-1990)دراسة قياسية ألثر الصادرات والواردات الزراعية على الناتج المحلي اإلجمالي الحقيقي في الجزائر للفترة

Abstract

The study addressed the impact of agricultural imports and agricultural exports on Algeria's economic growth during the period 1990-2022 using Bounds testing approaches for the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) methodology, where a standard model of real GDP was built as a function of the two independent variables (agricultural exports and agricultural imports), and the study concluded that there is a significant inverse relationship between agricultural exports and real GDP; which reflects the weak contribution of agricultural production in the formation of GDP, and a direct relationship between agricultural imports and GDP.

The study found a dynamic short-term relationship where the speed of adjustment to equilibrium in the long run was 9.4% (about 10 years and 7 months).

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