The impact of fiscal policy on economic growth in Algeria: empirical study using SVAR model

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth in Algeria using the Autoregressive Structural Vector Methodology (SVAR), we will follow the method of working of Blanchard and Perotti (2002).We include only three variables: public spending G, Taxes (Direct taxes + Indirect taxes) TAX and GDP. The study concluded that there is a positive effect of public spending on the economic growth in Algeria, but it is smaller, and it is only in the short term and then turns into a negative impact in the medium and long term. This indicates that ordinary taxation is very limited to increase economic growth in Algeria with the strong presence of petroleum taxation. When a negative shock occurs in the price of a barrel then the effect is transferred directly to the public revenues and automatically to the public spending.